Table 4

Comparison between risk prediction models of risk of 1-year and long-term all-cause mortality

	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 4
1-year mortality
Discrimination
IDI		0.141 (0.085–0.197)*	0.176(0.118–0.234)*	0.201 (0.137–0.266)*	0.025 (−0.002–0.052)†
Relative IDI		0.183*	0.229*	0.262*	0.026†
p Value		<0.001*	0.<001*	0.<001*	0.070†
C-index	0.731(0.701–0.760)	0.753 (0.724–0.783)	0.754(0.725–0.783)	0.759 (0.730–0.788)
p-difference		0.003*	0.005*	0.001*	0.141†
Long-term mortality
Discrimination
IDI		0.053 (0.032–0.074)*	0.054(0.031–0.077)*	0.070(0.045–0.094)*	0.015(0.0029–0.027)†
Relative IDI		0.044*	0.046*	0.059	0.012†
p Value		<0.001*	<0.001*	<0.001*	0.015†
C-index	0.725(0.709–0.741)	0.736 (0.720–0.752)	0.737(0.721–0.753)	0.739(0.724–0.755)
p-difference		<0.001*	<0.001*	<0.001*	0.069†

Model 1: Adjusted for age, sex, alcohol, smoking, diabetes, history of congestive heart failure, history of pulmonary disease, history of liver disease, haemoglobin, ejection fraction below 50% and New York Heart Association functional classification 3 or 4. Model 2: model 1 + quartiles of proANP. Model 3: model 1+ quartiles of NT-proBNP. Model 4: model 1+ quartiles of proANP + quartiles of NT-proBNP.
*Versus model 1.
†Versus model 3.