Table 3

Predicted change in cumulative incidence of each outcome at 5 years after peritoneal-dialysis initiation under the intervention scenarios

Change in cumulative incidence
Mean95% CIProportion of simulations in direction of mean change (%)
Intervention #1
 Death0.031(0.007 to 0.057)99.3
 Technique failure−0.091(−0.115 to −0.068)100.0
 Transplantation0.030(0.008 to 0.052)99.3
Intervention #2
 Death0.022(0.007 to 0.036)100.0
 Technique failure−0.064(−0.078 to −0.050)100.0
 Transplantation0.019(0.007 to 0.030)99.9
Intervention #3
 Death0.021(0.006 to 0.037)99.6
 Technique failure−0.064(−0.077 to −0.050)100.0
 Transplantation0.018(0.007 to 0.030)99.8
Intervention #4
 Death0.023(−0.010 to 0.056)90.8
 Technique failure−0.059(−0.110 to −0.010)92.0
 Transplantation0.024(−0.006 to 0.054)92.0