Table 3

Model parameter estimates and predicted probabilities (%) for excess alcohol consumption and binge drinking for neighbourhood deprivation and SES

Parameter estimate (SE)Excess consumption, less than binge (%)Binge (%)
Model 1†
 Neighbourhood deprivation quintiles
  Least deprivedReference22.29.7
  Less deprived−0.2042* (0.0372)20.19.9
  Mid deprived−0.4105* (0.0370)19.111.2
  More deprived−0.6544* (0.0375)17.612.6
  Most deprived−0.8526* (0.0391)17.212.6
 Interaction
  Within to excess: less deprived0.2033* (0.0446)
  Excess to binge: less deprived0.3254* (0.0565)
  Within to excess: mid deprived0.5656* (0.0443)
  Excess to binge: mid deprived0.7054* (0.0554)
  Within to excess: more deprived0.9931* (0.0459)
  Excess to binge: more deprived1.1510* (0.0563)
  Within to excess: most deprived1.3587* (0.0489)
  Excess to binge: most deprived1.3692* (0.0584)
Model 2‡
 Neighbourhood deprivation quintiles
  Least deprivedReference21.310.6
  Less deprived−0.1973* (0.0387)19.511.1
  Mid deprived−0.3879* (0.0386)18.813.0
  More deprived−0.6073* (0.0395)17.515.3
  Most deprived−0.7142* (0.0421)17.617.5
 Interaction
  Within to excess: less deprived0.1954* (0.0470)
  Excess to binge: less deprived0.3282* (0.0588)
  Within to excess: mid deprived0.5720* (0.0467)
  Excess to binge: mid deprived0.7296* (0.0577)
  Within to excess: more deprived1.0157* (0.0483)
  Excess to binge: more deprived1.2033* (0.0586)
  Within to excess: most deprived1.3996* (0.0514)
  Excess to binge: most deprived1.4615* (0.0608)
SES
 Professional/managerialReference19.814.6
 Intermediate−0.0973* (0.0265)19.013.0
 Routine occupations−0.1519* (0.0226)18.612.2
 Never worked/long-term unemployed−0.3339* (0.0614)17.19.7
  • *p<0.001.

  • †Model 1 included fixed effects terms for neighbourhood deprivation quintiles and the interaction with the binary transition explanatory variable for change in category of consumption, and random effects terms for household, LSOA and unitary authority.

  • Model 2 added social class, age group, gender, age group×gender, and adjusted for employment status, the highest educational qualification, ethnicity and housing tenure.

  • LSOA, lower super output areas; SES, socioeconomic status.