Table 3

PEPFAR impacts on maternal mortality ratio, child (under-5) mortality rate, and the prevalence of anaemia among women of reproductive age: traditional and staggered DID estimates

Outcomes and methodsAll PEPFAR countriesCOP countriesNon-COP countriesHigh-intensity PEPFAR countriesMedium-intensity PEPFAR countriesLow-intensity PEPFAR countries
Maternal mortality ratio
 Means409.8497.5363.7519.6345.5364.4
 Model 1. Unadjusted model (traditional)−96.46***−120.90***−83.62*−125.77***−98.65*−64.96
 Model 1. Unadjusted model (staggered)−109.33***−82.58*−171.61***−145.11***19.84−310.18***
 Model 2. Adjusted model (traditional)−100.74***−130.90***−85.40***−135.68***−100.04***−68.94**
 Model 2. Adjusted model (staggered)−60.11***−80.42***−58.73***−118.64***−53.09*−95.90***
Child (under-5) mortality rate
 Means78.997.968.999.565.471.8
 Model 1. Unadjusted model (traditional)−26.90***−34.29***−23.02***−37.76***−21.98***−20.97***
 Model 1. Unadjusted model (staggered)−22.41***−30.81***−26.47***−36.15***−11.73**−37.12***
 Model 2. Adjusted model (traditional)−27.38***−35.67***−23.17***−40.24***−21.81***−21.18***
 Model 2. Adjusted model (staggered)−20.65***−32.80***−18.44***−37.75***−19.11***−19.56***
Prevalence of anaemia among women of reproductive age
 Means37.039.036.038.636.336.2
 Model 1. Unadjusted model (traditional)−1.26−1.91*−0.91−2.39**−0.90−0.48
 Model 1. Unadjusted model (staggered)−1.25*−1.13−1.99*−1.67*1.29−4.20***
 Model 2. Adjusted model (traditional)−1.02−1.58*−0.74−2.18**−0.72−0.25
 Model 2. Adjusted model (staggered)−0.42−1.090.00−1.71*−0.550.02
  • *p< 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001.

  • COP, country operational plans; DID, difference-in-differences; PEPFAR, President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief.