Table 8

Participant responses to ‘What is your best guess as to the percent chance that John actually had COVID-19 at the time of his test, given his test result?’, by message viewed

Message viewedN answering 48%–52% (percentage, 95% CI52)N answering categorically (0% or 100%) (percentage, 95% CI52)
 Control84/356
23.6% (19.5% to 28.3%)
42/356
11.8% (8.8% to 15.6%)
 USA98/342
28.7% (24.1% to 33.7%)
42/342
12.3% (9.2% to 16.2%)
 New Zealand66/345
19.1% (15.3% to 23.6%)
20/345
5.8% (3.7% to 8.8%)
 UK97/343
28.3% (23.8% to 33.3%)
68/343
19.8% (15.9% to 24.4%)
 Experimental98/358
27.4% (23% to 32.2%)
41/358
11.5% (8.5% to 15.2%)