Table 1

Probability and safety of decision outcomes of the pH test

OutcomeProbabilityScore
Feeding into the stomach by pHPrior probability of stomach×Sensitivity of pH100
Feeding into the lung by pH (feeding error)Prior probability of lung×(1—Specificity in lung)0
Feeding into the oesophagus by pH (feeding error)Prior probability of oesophageal×(1Specificity in oesophagus)45
Delayed feeding into the stomach by X-rays (unnecessary X-rays)Prior probability of stomach×(1Sensitivity of pH)85
No feeding outside the stomach by pH or by X-raysPrior probability of lung/oesophagus×Specificity in lung/oesophagus100