Table 5

Multiple linear regression including all contextual variables and fourth year performance

Variable	x̅	SD	B	95% CI	Sig
School type
State comprehensive (reference)	74.25	2.43
Sixth form college	74.31	2.46	−0.12	−0.82 to 0.57	0.727
State other	74.72	1.92	0.67	−0.72 to 1.92	0.370
State grammar	73.92	2.58	−0.22	−0.98 to 0.54	0.566
Independent school	73.56	2.46	−0.29	−0.99 to 0.42	0.426
Ethnicity
White (reference)	74.41	2.33
Black	74.40	2.34	−2.51	−5.77 to 0.75	0.131
Asian	72.97	2.51	−1.41	−2.11 to 0.72	<0.001
Chinese	71.80	3.00	−3.01	−4.70 to 1.31	0.001
Other	73.92	2.50	−0.56	−1.58 to 0.47	0.288
Sex
Female (reference)	74.33	2.31	−0.49	−1.02 to 0.04	0.068
Male	73.76	2.66	−0.49	−1.02 to 0.04	0.068
Continuous variables
School performance*			0.01	−0.010 to 0.02	0.486
Socioeconomic status (Index of Multiple Deprivation; percentile)			0.003	−0.01 to 0.01	0.458
Polar 3†			0.05	−0.15 to 0.24	0.634
UCAS Tariff Points			0.01	0.003 to 0.02	0.010
Model parameters
B0	70.14
R	0.35
R²	0.12

*School performance-Based on the percentage of students achieving 3 A-levels or equivalent.
†Neighbourhood higher education participation (1=Lowest Participation to 5=Highest Participation).
‡Defined by percentiles of Index of Multiple Deprivation (1=Most deprived to =100 Least deprived). IMD link: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/english-indices-of-deprivation-2010.